Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 75+ bps total by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Three meetings remain this year; current rate ~5.25-5.50%0 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 35% Yes

Recent inflation data remains sticky; 75 bps over 3 meetings (25 bps each) is possible but requires aggressive easing that current Fed messaging does not support.

Rules

Resolves YES if the cumulative reduction in the federal funds rate from September 25, 2026 to December 31, 2026 reaches 75 basis points or more, as reported by the Federal Reserve's official meeting decisions at federalreserve.gov.

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