Will the Bank of England cut rates by 50+ bps total by December 31, 2026?

⚡ BoE held at 5.0% in September; inflation easing0 votes

Yes

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Yes—

No—

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Votes only — no stakes, just conviction.

✨ AI says 58% Yes

UK inflation has fallen sharply; the BoE has signaled gradual cuts. Four remaining meetings by year-end allow for 50 bps if delivered as 25 bps twice or 50 bps once, moderately likely given current economic conditions.

Rules

Resolves YES if the cumulative reduction in the Bank of England's base rate from September 25, 2026 to December 31, 2026 is 50 basis points or more. Official BoE press releases and rate decision announcements at bankofengland.co.uk are the source of truth.

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