Yes
69%
No
31%
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✨ AI says 68% Yes
Escalating Iran-US military activity in the Strait of Hormuz (a critical 20% global oil chokepoint) and reported strikes create genuine supply-shock risk, though markets have partially priced it in; $110 is aggressive but achievable within a week.
Rules
Resolves YES if WTI crude oil closes at or above $110/barrel on any trading day between July 13-20, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov) or major financial exchanges (NYMEX).
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