Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25+ bps at its September 18 meeting?

⚡ Market pricing ~65% odds of a cut as of early Sept0 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 68% Yes

Recent market signals and Fed communication suggest heightened probability of a September cut given economic conditions, though no certainty exists.

Rules

Resolves YES if the Fed's official statement at federalreserve.gov announces a federal funds rate reduction of 25 basis points or more at the September 16–18, 2026 FOMC meeting.

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