Will the Bank of England cut the base rate below 4% by December 31, 2026?

⚡ UK inflation still above 2% target; rate-cut path uncertain0 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 58% Yes

BoE has signaled gradual easing; cumulative cuts of 100+ bps by year-end would be aggressive but possible if inflation softens and growth slows.

Rules

Resolves YES if the Bank of England's official base rate, as announced on bankofengland.co.uk, falls below 4.00% on or before December 31, 2026. Current rate context and MPC decisions are the source of truth.

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