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Will SpaceX's Starship complete a full orbital test flight by October 31, 2026?

⚡ 5 test flights completed; next orbital window approaching2 votes

Yes

50%

No

50%

Voting closed

Yes50%
No50%

Voting is closed.

Votes only — no stakes, just conviction.

✨ AI says 72% Yes

SpaceX has demonstrated rapid iteration cadence; booster catches are routine. Full orbital success by Halloween is aggressive but within their demonstrated capability window.

Rules

Resolves YES if SpaceX successfully completes a full orbital flight test (booster catch, stage separation, and controlled splashdown or landing) as confirmed by official SpaceX announcements or FAA licensing records at faa.gov/space.

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