Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by 100+ basis points total by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Currently hovering near 4.25–4.50% range0 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 35% Yes

Significant rate cuts require sustained economic weakness; recent inflation persistence and labor strength suggest a more gradual easing path through year-end.

Rules

Resolves YES if the cumulative reduction in the federal funds rate from 2026-01-01 through 2026-12-31 reaches 100 basis points or more. Source: Federal Reserve official rate announcements and FOMC meeting summaries at federalreserve.gov.

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