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Will the US-Iran Hormuz blockade trigger oil prices above $115/barrel by July 20?

⚡ WTI at ~$84, below $115 threshold; trading day not yet closed16 votes

Yes

69%

No

31%

Voting closed

Yes69%
No31%

Voting is closed.

Votes only — no stakes, just conviction.

✨ AI says 72% Yes

Trump just reimposed a Hormuz blockade and demanded tolls on cargo; Iran has attacked ships; oil volatility is already spiking. Historical precedent: 2022 Russia invasion drove WTI above $120 within weeks.

Rules

Resolves YES if WTI crude oil closes at or above $115/barrel on any trading day between July 13 and July 20, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov) or Bloomberg Terminal official closing prices.

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