Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate to below 3.5% by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Currently near 4.33%; three cuts possible by year-end0 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 28% Yes

Three 25bp cuts would be needed; inflation remains sticky and Fed has signaled caution, making aggressive cutting unlikely by year-end.

Rules

Resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate falls below 3.5% as announced by the Federal Reserve after its December 16-17, 2026 meeting or any subsequent 2026 meeting. Source: federalreserve.gov official statements.

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