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Will the Federal Reserve hold the federal funds rate steady at September 18 meeting?

⚡ Market pricing 65% chance of hold; inflation data mixed5 votes

Yes

60%

No

40%

Voting closed

Yes60%
No40%

Voting is closed.

Votes only — no stakes, just conviction.

✨ AI says 68% Yes

Recent inflation reports show moderation but labor market remains resilient; most Fed commentary signals data-dependent approach favoring a pause before September action.

Rules

Resolves YES if the Fed's policy statement on September 18, 2026 (or the official FOMC decision published at federalreserve.gov) announces no change to the target federal funds rate from the prior level. Any cut or hike resolves NO.

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