Will the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 50+ bps total by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Three FOMC meetings remain in 20260 votes

Yes

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✨ AI says 58% Yes

Recent inflation data suggests gradual easing cycle; 50 bps over four months requires sustained cuts, plausible but depends on economic data.

Rules

Resolves YES if the cumulative basis point reduction in the federal funds rate from September 20, 2026 to December 31, 2026 reaches 50 bps or more. Source: Federal Reserve's official meeting announcements and FOMC statements at federalreserve.gov.

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