Will SpaceX launch Starship's next orbital flight test by September 30, 2026?

⚡ Last full test: April 2024; cadence accelerating1 vote

Yes

100%

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✨ AI says 72% Yes

SpaceX has shown increasing launch cadence; 3 weeks is tight but feasible given recent momentum and FAA approval patterns.

Rules

Resolves YES if SpaceX conducts a full orbital test flight of Starship (booster and ship) that reaches space, as confirmed by official SpaceX announcements or FAA licensing records at faa.gov/space. Suborbital or booster-only tests do not count.

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